2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and choose

The 2012 Euro Cup is down to the ultimate four teams, then when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they will be playing to take care of the winner with the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between both of these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't care about earlier times, they may be dedicated to the game available.
The German squad haven't ever beaten Italy in the competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, overlook about this, the past doesn't be the cause in our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is always that Germany has never won against Italy inside a major tournament, but precisely what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's the perfect time for Germany to win as they are the favored at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will probably be a hardcore, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going read more the wrong way for this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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